Shared Workspaces
Public catalog of Qwidgets for Prediction Markets — shareable workspaces covering Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, and PredictIt with live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics.
Workspaces
- Crypto Clarity Act 2026
Kalshi's Senate floor-vote rung has fallen to 78% while enactment by year-end has risen to 22%—the two Clarity Act ladders have decoupled, with $1.36M of open interest stranded ...
Updated 2026-08-22 - Trump Approval Rating
Three books settled Friday's Trump approval three different ways—Kalshi's Range on 39.4-39.6, Kalshi's own VoteHub binary below 38.7, Polymarket on 38.0-38.4. The gap is the agg...
Updated 2026-08-22 - AI Lab Private Valuations 2026
Polymarket's NPM-powered strike ladders on OpenAI and Anthropic year-end 2026 marks—Anthropic now prices at roughly twice OpenAI, with its three deepest legs all above $3T, plus...
Updated 2026-08-20 - Recession Risk — 2026 and 2027
Kalshi's 2026 NBER recession binary has collapsed to 6% and Polymarket agrees at 7%, while the 2027 contract prices 31%—the market has moved recession risk past the year everyon...
Updated 2026-08-15 - 2026 House Control
Cross-exchange tracker for the 2026 US House majority—Democrats at 85% against a coin-flip Senate, both balance-of-power books putting most of their volume on a 1% leg, and Kals...
Updated 2026-08-20 - 2026 Senate Control
Cross-exchange view on 2026 Senate control—Kalshi prices Republicans 52.5% while Polymarket has crossed to 50.5% Democratic, plus the seat-count Range, the combo books and the T...
Updated 2026-08-22 - Bitcoin Year-End 2026
Year-end Bitcoin distribution as a trading-calibrated options chain—Kalshi and Polymarket ranges now centered on $65–70k, a fat sub-$45k left tail, $100k-again at 10.5%, and Bit...
Updated 2026-08-22 - California Governor 2026
Kalshi's California book is down to two names—Becerra at 96.4% and Hilton at 3.6%—and the 3.6% leg holds $3,579,657, more than twice what backs the favorite.
Updated 2026-08-21 - 2028 Presidential Election
Cross-exchange tracker for the 2028 US presidential race—Ocasio-Cortez has taken the Democratic nomination lead from Newsom on both books while carrying a third of all flow, and...
Updated 2026-08-22 - Next SCOTUS Vacancy
The market's answer has not changed: Alito, then Thomas, then a long gap—agreed across Kalshi and two Manifold books. The replacement field is flat, and three arbitrage-free vio...
Updated 2026-08-14 - US Index Markets 2026 — S&P and Nasdaq
Kalshi's index complex holds $7.9M of open interest on $29k of daily volume—and $1.5M of it sits on two crash contracts priced at 1.5% and 4.5%. The daily tape moved to Polymarket.
Updated 2026-08-22 - South Carolina Senate Special 2026 — Runoff
Three days to South Carolina's August 25 Republican Senate runoff—Graham 67.5% to Norman's 33%, but Norman outtraded her $417k to $370k and the margin book's deepest legs are bo...
Updated 2026-08-22 - Gold, Silver and Copper Tracker
Gold implies $4,601.85, copper reversed to $6.537 and silver sits at $68.90—all three curves backwardated into month-end, with gold's year-end ladder 3.2% above spot.
Updated 2026-08-22 - WTI, Brent and Natural Gas Tracker
Cross-benchmark energy tracker—WTI implies $86.67 and Brent $92.32, narrowing the spread to $5.65, while $2.99M of open interest sits on a year-high ladder that trades $9k a day.
Updated 2026-08-22 - SpaceX Tracker — Merger, Cadence, IPO Calendar
SpaceX after its June listing—Kalshi's Tesla–SpaceX merger ladder carrying $218k on a 3.5% two-week leg, the August launch count, Starship 14's seventeen-day step, and the Anthr...
Updated 2026-08-21 - Stanley Cup 2027
Kalshi prices Philadelphia 32% to win the East and 2% to win the Cup, and Anaheim 31% to win the West and 4%—while 62% of the outright book's day traded through two teams at 1%.
Updated 2026-08-21 - Next Prime Minister of Israel
Polymarket turns $98,048 a day on the next Israeli premiership and Kalshi turns $314—and Polymarket's deepest leg is Yair Lapid at two-tenths of one percent, taking 47% of the f...
Updated 2026-08-21 - NBA Player Movement 2026
Kalshi prices Steph Curry 96% to stay in Golden State while $2.32M of open interest sits on five destination legs priced at 1–2%—and Bronny's 11% leg outtraded his 86% one.
Updated 2026-08-21 - Sports Awards 2026-27
Five Kalshi award books turned $564k in a day and in four of five the favorite barely traded—Wembanyama at 32% took $45 while a 2% quarterback took $30,386.
Updated 2026-08-21 - 2027 French Presidential Election
Polymarket turns $780,141 a day on the 2027 French race and Kalshi turns $182—and Polymarket's deepest leg is Ségolène Royal at one-tenth of one percent, taking 41% of the flow.
Updated 2026-08-21 - 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion
Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold all price Antonelli within three-tenths of a point at 74%—and Polymarket's deepest leg of the day is Oscar Piastri at 0.2%, taking a third of the...
Updated 2026-08-21 - Ballon d'Or 2026
Kane is 61%, 63% and 60% across three venues—and each real-money book put its deepest leg of the day on a different longshot: Messi at 2.3% and Mbappé at 7%.
Updated 2026-08-21 - NBA Champion 2027
Kalshi's 2027 title book put 72% of the day through Philadelphia at 11% while San Antonio and Oklahoma City, the 23% and 22% favorites, took $1,867 between them.
Updated 2026-08-21 - US Gas Prices Tracker
AAA national gasoline across five Kalshi horizons—the weekly implies $4.12 while month-end has jumped to $4.20, and today's expiring daily book turned $226,761 quoted flat at 50%.
Updated 2026-08-20 - FedEx Cup Playoffs 2026 — BMW Championship
Cross-book tracker for the BMW Championship—Scheffler at 23.5% into round one, while Aaron Rai at 0.5% carries the deepest position in an $11.5M book.
Updated 2026-08-22 - Fed Chair Transition Tracker
Cross-exchange tracker for the Warsh-era Fed—September holds at 71.5%, the 25bp cut leg outtrades it at 0.5%, plus the hike ladder, Jackson Hole and the September dissent book.
Updated 2026-08-22 - Entertainment Markets 2026 — TV, Streaming, Reviews
Kalshi's Netflix view-count ladders price 40 million views above 35 million—an outright inversion—while Big Brother's weekly eviction outtrades the season and 51% of it sits on ...
Updated 2026-08-22 - Government Shutdown Watch — Oct 1, 2026
Kalshi prices a shutdown on October 1 at 17% and government-wide funding before October 1 at 99%. Three venues price the same binary at 17%, 11% and 8%, and Manifold's two windo...
Updated 2026-08-19 - North Carolina Senate 2026
Cooper prices 92.7% on a book that turns over $1,636 a day while carrying $1.24M of open interest—and 82% of its resting depth sits outside two-to-ninety-eight cents. What 'deep...
Updated 2026-08-19 - Iowa Senate 2026
Iowa is the live one—Hinson 58% to Turek 42%—but Kalshi lists it three times and gets 57%, 58% and 64%, and the combo book's modal outcome is a Sand-Hinson split ticket at 37%.
Updated 2026-08-19 - Georgia Senate 2026
Ossoff prices 91% to hold Georgia—while 85% of the day's flow and three times the open interest sit on Collins at 8.5%, and Kalshi ranks Georgia third-least-likely to be the cyc...
Updated 2026-08-19 - 2026 Federal Election Law & Legislation Tracker
Kalshi prices FISA 702 reauthorization at 7.6% in one book and 29% in another. Meanwhile SAVE America's ladder took 24x the flow and fell—with $221k of open interest stranded on...
Updated 2026-08-20 - 2026 Florida Governor Race
Donalds won the nomination as priced—but the $19.7M book was trading margin, and the ladder that gave him 50%+ at 92% went to 1%. Fishback cleared 10–11% on $3.8M of vote-share ...
Updated 2026-08-19 - Michigan Senate 2026
Michigan's open 2026 Senate seat across every exchange—El-Sayed's post-primary slide stopped at 54.5% against Rogers, while national Senate control drifted two points toward the...
Updated 2026-08-20 - European Club Football 2026-27
Cross-league tracker for European club football—Arsenal's Community Shield win took it from 36.5% to 43.5% in the Premier League and from least-traded favorite to deepest leg on...
Updated 2026-08-18 - Top AI Model Tracker
Grok's challenger trade unwound from 23.5% to 11.15% and Claude's year-end price rose to 68%, while the deepest leg on a $52k book is Ernie at 0.25% taking $14,230.
Updated 2026-08-18 - Ethereum 2026 Tracker
Cross-exchange ETH tracker—$1,903 spot with a $40 same-day band at 64%, a year-end book that traded 8.5x and moved its mode up while getting flatter, and a sixteen-point Kalshi–...
Updated 2026-08-22 - Ohio Senate Special 2026
Sherrod Brown against Jon Husted for JD Vance's old seat—the second-deepest Senate book on prediction markets, and the only one where Kalshi and Polymarket disagree about which ...
Updated 2026-08-20 - World Leader Turnover 2026
Two exchanges price which heads of government fall before 2027—and $73,525, sixty percent of the Putin book, sits on a leg the market gives less than one chance in a hundred.
Updated 2026-08-17 - Climate & Hurricane Season 2026
No Atlantic hurricane has formed by mid-August—the naming book is on its fourth candidate and the count chains price under five storms—while August record heat has climbed to 81%.
Updated 2026-08-22 - UK Politics 2026 — after Clacton
UK event contract coverage after the August 13 Clacton by-election—Reform held and Binface took second, Kalshi delisted the entire series, and Manifold's $828-a-day succession b...
Updated 2026-08-17 - Leagues Cup 2026
Cross-book tracker for the September 7 Leagues Cup final—eight clubs left with nothing above 18.5%, and the deepest flow on Chicago Fire rather than the priced favorite.
Updated 2026-08-17 - AG Confirmation 2026 — Blanche confirmed on 50 votes
Settled record of the Todd Blanche Attorney General confirmation—the whip-count book priced above-50 at 59% and the vote came in at exactly 50, plus a churn contract that resolv...
Updated 2026-08-17 - Powell at the Fed
Warsh is chair and Powell keeps a governor's seat—a whole complex that turned over $709 in a day, with a forty-five point step between the January and June 2027 departure legs a...
Updated 2026-08-17 - Russian Duma Election 2026
Polymarket's September 20 Russian Duma book, where two contracts on the same seat count price United Russia twenty-eight points apart and 64% of the volume sits on two parties p...
Updated 2026-08-17 - Tennessee Governor 2026
Post-primary Tennessee—Blackburn at 96% against Jerri Green with the primary books delisted, and a general election, margin ladder and turnout ladder that have all traded exactl...
Updated 2026-08-22 - 2026 Tennis Grand Slam Tracker — US Open
Cross-exchange tracker for the August 24 US Open—Sinner 49.5% and Sabalenka 26.5% while the deepest men's leg is Ben Shelton at 5.5% and the largest open-interest position is Ra...
Updated 2026-08-16 - Brazil Presidential Election 2026
Cross-exchange tracker for Brazil's October 4 first round—Lula 66.5% and Flávio Bolsonaro 28.7% with Kalshi agreeing within two points, while 58% of Polymarket's $923k day sits ...
Updated 2026-08-16 - Largest Company Tracker
Manifold prices NVIDIA at 95.5% to end August on top while Polymarket gives it 73% for December—and Apple's challenger leg is trading more actively than the leader's.
Updated 2026-08-15 - 2026 Maine Senate Race
Kalshi's Maine Senate books disagree by twelve points on the same question—Jackson at 66% on the party book, 64% by name, 54% on the margin ladder—while 91% of the day's flow si...
Updated 2026-08-15 - 2028 Democratic Nomination — Cross-Exchange
AOC leads the 2028 Democratic nomination at 17% on Kalshi and 20.1% on Polymarket, Jon Ossoff has climbed into a tie for second, and Andy Beshear at 3.8% carries twice the daily...
Updated 2026-08-15 - 2027 College Football National Championship
Five nested Kalshi books turn over $3.15M a day and yield a round-by-round survival curve for every team. Two of them—Texas Tech and Penn State—are priced to reach a final they ...
Updated 2026-08-14 - US Jobs Report Tracker
Claims for the week ending August 8 settled between 205,000 and 210,000. Ahead of the September 4 employment report, Kalshi's Cumulative, Categorical and Combo books disagree by...
Updated 2026-08-14 - Venezuela leader 2026 — office vs power
Kalshi lists two Venezuela leader books settling the same week that disagree completely—Maduro 79% to officially lead, Delcy Rodríguez 88% to de facto lead—while Polymarket's si...
Updated 2026-08-13 - MLB World Series Champion 2026
Cross-exchange tracker for the 2026 MLB World Series—the Dodgers at 36.9% against a wide-open American League, an internally inconsistent pennant-versus-championship pair, the C...
Updated 2026-08-13 - Texas Senate 2026
Cross-exchange tracker for the 2026 Texas Senate race—Talarico has taken the lead from Paxton on both Kalshi and Polymarket while the money stays on Paxton, plus margin ladders,...
Updated 2026-08-20 - Nobel Peace Prize 2026
Cross-exchange tracker for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize—Polymarket favoring individuals with Navalnaya at 9%, Kalshi favoring organizations with Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms a...
Updated 2026-08-13 - NFL Champion 2027 and the Season Books
Kalshi's full 32-team Super Bowl LXI book at $1.24M a day, where the Rams lead at 16% but Houston at 5% carries half the flow—plus the conference paths, MVP, best record, Offens...
Updated 2026-08-13 - Trump Administration Turnover 2026
Kalshi and Polymarket personnel churn books—Karoline Leavitt's departure resolved along with five other names, and 90% of the anchor's $236k daily volume now sits on a question ...
Updated 2026-08-20 - Wisconsin Governor 2026 — Crowley vs Tiffany
A 95% favorite lost: David Crowley beat Francesca Hong by under three points on a $10.4M book. Cross-exchange coverage of the November 3 general against Tom Tiffany, plus the se...
Updated 2026-08-20 - Hantavirus Pandemic 2026
Cross-exchange tracker for 2026 hantavirus pandemic risk—Polymarket and Kalshi headline Singles now trading below generic pandemic risk, plus the open MV Hondius origin question...
Updated 2026-08-22 - Ohio Governor 2026
Post-primary tracker for the November 3, 2026 Ohio open-seat governor race—Vivek Ramaswamy against Amy Acton, with Kalshi and Polymarket now naming different favorites in a race...
Updated 2026-08-10 - 2027 College Basketball Champion
Kalshi's 2026-27 men's college basketball title book—73 teams, Florida and Duke tied at the top near 12.5%, and the flattest championship field on prediction markets—plus the wo...
Updated 2026-08-08 - 2027 Oscars — Best Picture
Cross-exchange tracker for the 99th Academy Awards Best Picture race—Kalshi's full-field winner book alongside Manifold's independent read, plus the nomination markets that set ...
Updated 2026-08-08 - Middle East Escalation Tracker
The market has repriced Iran as a frozen conflict—no invasion at 17%, no deal at 11% by March 2027 (down from 35%), and Hormuz reopening marked down a third time to 29% by January.
Updated 2026-08-19 - August 2026 CPI Release
Strike-chain view on the September 11 CPI release (August 2026 data)—Kalshi cumulative chains centering headline YoY at 3.4% and MoM at 0.2%, the Categorical books that beat the...
Updated 2026-08-22 - FOMC Tracker
Polymarket's September book turns $4.27M against Kalshi's $571k—and 70% of it traded through legs priced at 1.3% and 0.5%. Both exchanges price a hold near 68% and a 25bp hike n...
Updated 2026-08-22 - UEFA Champions League 2026-27
The 2026-27 Champions League title race—Barcelona has separated to 20.5% while Arsenal at 13.5% takes the deepest flow, set against the Premier League book where Arsenal leads a...
Updated 2026-08-20 - Golf 2026 — LIV, Korn Ferry, LPGA and the 2027 board
The four tours outside the PGA Tour, all settling Sunday—Bryson DeChambeau at 5.5% is the deepest contract in LIV's $218k book by both volume and open interest, ahead of the act...
Updated 2026-08-22 - Los Angeles Mayor 2026 — Bass vs Raman Runoff
The November 3 LA mayoral runoff—Bass at 63.5% against Raman across Kalshi, Polymarket and Manifold, on $352k a day, the deepest municipal race book on the board.
Updated 2026-08-20 - Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Tracker
Manifold prices a Ukraine ceasefire before 2027 at 15.4% while Polymarket prices a signed peace treaty at 14%—and 83% of the Putin-Zelenskyy meeting book's volume sits on venue ...
Updated 2026-08-19 - Tennis 2026 — season books and the clay record
Every 2026 tennis book has its deepest flow on a longshot—Tiafoe at 1.5% took 62% of the ATP slam book, and the year-end #1 ladder holds more money on Alcaraz at 7% than Sinner ...
Updated 2026-08-22