WTI Crude Oil Tracker

WTI crude is one of the deepest commodity books on prediction markets, and the near-term print ladder is where the volume sits. Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 6 is the live daily ladder at roughly $231k in 24-hour volume—it crosses 50% between $75.99 and $76.49, essentially unchanged from where the Aug 5 book settled—with the Aug 7 weekly Range beside it.

Kalshi has now relisted the monthly high/low chains for August, after skipping them at the start of the month; they sit below the print books alongside the full-year 2026 pair. Behind those are two longer fuses—the Election Day print on November 3 and Polymarket's all-time-high Multiple, the one crude book still listed off-Kalshi. Read top to bottom, the stack is a horizon ladder: days, then weeks, then the month, then the year, then the tail.

Kalshi's August chains—how high and how low WTI gets by Aug 31—sit above the same pair run out to Dec 31, 2026. The August high book is nearly untraded at roughly $500 in 24-hour volume while the August low book carries about $13k, which is itself the read: traders are paying for downside protection this month, not upside.

The two longest fuses in the stack—Kalshi's Election Day Cumulative on the November 3 print, and Polymarket's all-time-high Multiple, the one crude book still listed off-Kalshi.

• Daily vs. weekly print. KXWTI-26AUG0614 settles on today's close and KXWTIW-26AUG0714 on the Aug 7 close. The daily book carries roughly seven times the weekly's volume and moves first on inventory data and OPEC+ headlines; the weekly Range is the cleaner read on where the market thinks the week ends.
• The weekly has flattened. A week ago the Aug 7 Range was bimodal, with Below $73.00 alone near 21%. It has since spread out—the top bucket is $75.00 to $75.99 at roughly 15%, with four more buckets inside four points of it. The market has stopped pricing a specific outcome and started pricing a range.
• The daily rolls every session. Each daily book settles at 18:30 UTC and Kalshi relists the next one the same day. If the chart below reads settled, the next day's book has already taken over—check the search panel at the bottom.
• The August chains are new. Kalshi did not list an August high/low pair when the July chains settled on August 1; both are live now. The low book is trading and the high book effectively is not, which is the cleanest available statement of where the tail risk is priced.
• Print books vs. the longer chains. When the daily and weekly prints crowd the upper buckets of KXWTIMAX-26AUG31 or KXWTIMAX-26DEC31, the book is pricing this week as the high-water mark. Divergence between horizons is where the interesting trades sit.
• Election Day as a macro read. The November 3 print book is thin, but it is the only crude market that explicitly prices the commodity against the midterm calendar.