WTI Crude Oil Tracker

Shared workspace on Qwidgets for tracking prediction markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, and PredictIt. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

Evergreen view of the WTI crude oil book. The June 2026 Polymarket price-bucket Multiple has now settled (June 30, 2026 17:00 UTC at the front-month WTI close); Polymarket's July monthly has not yet listed. The durable backbone stays live: Kalshi's KXWTIMAX-26DEC31 and KXWTIMIN-26DEC31 year-end Cumulative ladders, plus Polymarket's live weekly price-bucket Multiple.

Next live settlement: Polymarket's weekly WTI Multiple for the week of July 6 settles July 10, 2026 21:00 UTC. The July monthly anchor rotates in automatically once Polymarket lists it.

Copy this workspace to your own account to keep it rolling; the custodian refreshes the weekly and monthly anchors automatically as each settles.

Polymarket's next-month Multiple extends the price-target story another month forward; Kalshi's year-end minimum Cumulative is the floor side of the full-year ladder. Together with the year-end max above they bracket the 2026 WTI distribution.

Polymarket prints a one-week WTI price-bucket Multiple every week at settlement. The current weekly book (will-wti-hit-week-of-july-6-2026) covers the July 6–July 10 trading week and settles Friday, July 10 21:00 UTC. Underneath the weekly print, the year-tail event tracks whether WTI prints a fresh all-time high before year-end.

  • Term structure across the ladder. The current-month Multiple is a one-month strike chain; Kalshi's year-end Cumulative is the same chain extended through December. Watch the shape of the curve—steepening means the market is pricing a rapid move within the month; flattening means the move is being pushed into the back half of the year.
  • Month-to-month pull-through. When the active month's ladder concentrates around a single bucket in its final 48 hours, the next-month Multiple usually re-anchors against that bucket within hours. That re-anchoring move is the cleanest cross-month signal in the workspace.
  • Brent vs. WTI spread. The Polymarket and Kalshi crude oil ladders are WTI-only; any divergence between WTI cumulative and a comparable Brent ladder signals a transatlantic basis move, not a market-wide oil call.
  • All-time-high asymmetry. The ATH Multiple is mostly inactive in normal weeks; it reprices fastest on geopolitical shocks (Hormuz traffic, regime-change headlines) before the front-month ladder catches up.