North Carolina Senate 2026

Shared workspace on Qwidgets for tracking prediction markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, and PredictIt. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

North Carolina's open Senate seat is the highest-volume individual Senate contest on prediction markets—a clean two-way race between Republican Michael Whatley and Democrat Roy Cooper. Kalshi carries the deepest book; Polymarket and Manifold list parallel winner markets, so the cross-exchange spread on the same head-to-head is visible at a glance.

The seat is one of the pivotal 2026 midterm contests—whichever party takes it moves the needle on overall Senate control, tracked in the majority-math row below.

Anchor: Kalshi SENATENC-26.

Direct click-to-trade quotes on each candidate, side by side. With only two names in the book, the two markets are mirror images—read them together as the implied win probability and its complement.

The same race viewed at the party level on Manifold, the Kalshi margin-of-victory ladder, and where North Carolina sits in the broader fight for Senate control.

  • Two-way means one number. With Whatley and Cooper the only names, the race collapses to a single implied probability and its complement—watch for divergence between the Kalshi and Polymarket books as the cheap/rich edge.
  • Margin, not just winner. The margin-of-victory ladder prices how close it lands, which matters for read-through to other Southern battlegrounds.
  • Majority read-through. North Carolina is one of a handful of seats that decide the chamber—cross-reference the Senate-control market when this one moves.