June 2026 CPI Release

BLS releases June 2026 CPI at 8:30 AM ET on Tuesday, July 14. Kalshi lists the print as a full cumulative chain (headline CPI, headline YoY, core YoY, core MoM)—structurally a strike chain on inflation. Read it the way you would an options chain and you can see exactly where the market thinks inflation lands and how wide the tails are. Polymarket doesn't list a single-month June 2026 inflation event, so the cross-exchange context for this print sits in the 2026-annual markets; a single Manifold market provides a separate sanity check.

Kalshi settles its KXCPI-26JUN cumulative ladder against the BLS print on the morning of release, so the strike chain's distribution tightens through the next four weeks. The previous strike chain (May CPI, KXCPI-26MAY) settled on June 10.

Workspace anchor: Kalshi — CPI in June (KXCPI-26JUN) · Kalshi — Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY, KXCPIYOY-26JUN).

Copy this workspace to your account to keep it tracking through the July release; the workspace re-anchors monthly.

Kalshi's cumulative June CPI event displayed as its native chart, paired with headline YoY for the year-over-year story. The strike-chain distributions tighten as the July 14 release approaches.

Kalshi's Categorical MoM print sits next to the core MoM cumulative chain. Below: Polymarket's full-year 2026 inflation market and a single Manifold sanity check on whether annual inflation stays above 3%—Polymarket's monthly June 2026 release isn't listed, so the cross-exchange context lives in the annual markets.

• The cumulative chain is the signal. Each bucket prices the probability that CPI comes in at or above that threshold. Derivatives traders already know how to read this.
• Headline vs. core YoY divergence. When the headline chain moves but core doesn't, services inflation is staying sticky and a chunk of the print is energy / supercore noise.
• MoM Categorical vs. cumulative MoM. Same data, two presentations—the cumulative chain shows the smooth distribution; the Categorical pie shows the discrete bucket the market thinks is most likely.
• Annual context. Polymarket and the Manifold check are year-long markets, so they move much more slowly than the print-day chains; treat them as a backdrop, not a print-day signal.
• Print day mechanics. Kalshi settles at the BLS release on July 14; expect the cumulative chain widgets to converge sharply in the final 24 hours.