2026 NBA Champion

Shared workspace on Qwidgets for tracking prediction markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, and PredictIt. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Widgets

The champion book across every exchange

The 2026 NBA playoffs are the single highest-volume domestic sports market on prediction markets right now. This workspace tracks the championship Categorical on Polymarket and Kalshi, the cross-exchange spread on the Oklahoma City favorite, Western and Eastern conference winners on both books, and the MVP race.

Playoffs opened: April 19, 2026.
NBA Finals scheduled to conclude: by late June 2026.

Copy this workspace to your account to keep it tracking as the bracket advances.

Polymarket and Kalshi both list the 2026 NBA champion as a 30-team Categorical. Full distributions side by side so every team's implied probability is visible.

Oklahoma City carries both books as the title favorite after running away with the West in the regular season. The Polymarket and Kalshi spot markets on OKC are the cleanest single reads.

Polymarket and Kalshi both list separate Western and Eastern Conference winner Categoricals. Paired side by side for the cross-exchange spread on each bracket.

Kalshi's MVP Categorical settled on May 12 at the NBA awards ceremony, so the pie below shows the resolved result rather than a live race. It still reads as a team proxy—the MVP's club is typically among those the book expects to go deep in June.

  • OKC spread. When Polymarket and Kalshi disagree on the Thunder by more than two points, the cheaper side is usually the edge. Kalshi's structured-market pricing tends to lag Polymarket on single-game news.
  • Conference pies as matchup pricing. The product of the two conference leaders is the market-implied probability of a specific Finals matchup. Watch when that product diverges from the champion pie's top slice.
  • MVP as a team proxy. Historically, MVP winners reach the conference finals in roughly two-thirds of seasons. With the MVP now resolved, the pie is a fixed read on the season's standout team rather than a live signal.
  • History chart into the Finals. Expect stepwise repricing after each round closes—especially between the conference finals and the tip of game 1.