UEFA Champions League 2025-26 — PSG retains

Shared workspace on Qwidgets for tracking prediction markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, and PredictIt. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

The 2025-26 UEFA Champions League final settled Saturday, May 30, 2026—PSG retained the trophy, drawing 1-1 with Arsenal in regulation and winning 4-3 on penalties. PSG become only the second club to successfully defend the modern Champions League. This workspace now reads as a post-mortem of how the cross-exchange book moved into settlement: Polymarket's UEFA Champions League Winner and Kalshi's KXUCL-26 both list every team in the bracket, with the long history chart showing where the books convicted PSG, where they hesitated on Arsenal in the final week, and how the spread between Polymarket and Kalshi compressed in the final 48 hours.

Adjacent context includes the Unbeaten Champion binary (whether the winner went undefeated through the bracket) and the Top Scorer Golden Boot race. Copy this workspace to your own account if you want to inspect the settled order books and re-run the cross-exchange spread analysis.

Same Categorical on both exchanges. Pies show every team in the field—no count cap—so the long-tail clubs stay visible alongside the favorite.

Two adjacent Polymarket books: Unbeaten Champion prices the binary that the eventual winner went undefeated across the bracket; Top Scorer prices the Golden Boot race for the season.

  • Cross-exchange pie shape. Polymarket and Kalshi both listed every team in the bracket; PSG's implied probability typically diverged by 1–3 points between books and tightened sharply in the final 48 hours as the Arsenal upset story faded. The settled pies below show where each book convicted at close.
  • History chart. The long timeline on the Polymarket winner book captures the bracket dynamics—where elimination-round upsets repriced the championship (Arsenal's run through Real Madrid and Bayern), where PSG ran away with the field, and where the cross-exchange spread widened versus compressed.
  • Unbeaten Champion binary. The unbeaten-team market is the cleanest single-shot test of whether the eventual winner ran the table—the settled price is the book's final answer.
  • Top Scorer race. Golden Boot resolution often lags the championship by a session; the final pie shape is the book's take on which striker carried the bracket.