2027 French Presidential Election

Shared workspace on Qwidgets for tracking prediction markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, Manifold, and PredictIt. Live prices, candlestick charts, order books, and historical analytics for every event and market on this page.

Markets in this workspace

France goes to the polls in the spring of 2027 to elect Emmanuel Macron's successor—Macron is term-limited under the Cinquième République's two-consecutive-term rule and cannot run again. Polymarket is where this race trades; Kalshi has not listed a comparable Categorical and the Manifold/PredictIt books are too thin to mirror. The anchor here is the 36-candidate Polymarket Next French Presidential Election Categorical, the deepest non-US election book on the platform with over $1.2M in 24-hour volume.

Anchor settlement: April 30, 2027 (first-round runoff is the typical historical pattern; final settlement on the second-round result).
Settlement reference: Conseil constitutionnel.

Below the main field, the workspace breaks out who Polymarket lists as ballot-eligible, who has formally announced a 2026 run, and the broader European next leader out of power before 2027 market for cross-leader context.

Copy this workspace to your own account to keep it tracking through the 2026 declarations and the 2027 vote.

Polymarket's main Next French Presidential Election book lists 36 candidates. The pie shows the full distribution—no count cap—so the long tail of fringe candidates stays visible alongside the leaders.

Two adjacent Polymarket markets help frame the race: who has formally announced a 2026 run (French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?) and who Polymarket considers ballot-eligible for 2027 (2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?). Together they show how the field is solidifying ahead of the spring 2027 vote.

What to watch. Polymarket's lead candidates rotate—Marine Le Pen and the Rassemblement National leadership (Bardella, Le Pen) typically anchor one pole; the centrist field (Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau) holds the post-Macron bloc; the broader-left field (François Ruffin and others) is more diffuse. Kalshi has not listed a competing book on this race, which makes the Polymarket distribution effectively the global price for now—watch for any Kalshi listing as a structural shift in the 2027 cycle's prediction market footprint. The 2026 announcement window starts late this year.