Peru Presidential Runoff 2026

Peru held its presidential runoff on Sunday, June 7, 2026—Keiko Fujimori against Roberto Sánchez Palomino, the top two finishers from the April 12 first round. After an extraordinarily close, slow-to-certify count, Keiko Fujimori won. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have now resolved their winner books to Fujimori—every other candidate settled to No. This workspace preserves the final cross-exchange spread across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold, alongside the margin-of-victory and turnout books and the price history into the vote.

Polymarket and Kalshi booked the same winner question. The pies show the full candidate field settled to the final result—every eliminated candidate resolved No, with the probability mass resolving onto Fujimori.

Direct prices on each runoff candidate, paired across exchanges—read the cross-exchange spread on the same name as a liquidity-vs-information signal.

Polymarket's second-round structure books—the winning margin and turnout—settled alongside the headline result, with Manifold's forecast mirror as a third read on the same question.

• The result is settled—Fujimori won. Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolved their winner books to Keiko Fujimori after an unusually slow certification of a razor-thin runoff; the charts below preserve the final cross-exchange distribution.
• Cross-exchange spread into the close. Polymarket's volume ran orders of magnitude deeper than Kalshi's—the spread on the same candidate into settlement is a clean liquidity-vs-information case study.
• Margin and turnout structure. Polymarket's margin-of-victory and turnout books add detail on how decisively Fujimori prevailed in a result this narrow.